Southwest Iowa Crop Conditions

Southwest Iowa Crop Conditions

Southwest of Storm Lake

Counties of: Woodbury, Ida, Sac, Monona, Crawford, Harrison, Shelby

Past Weeks Rainfall: Continuing rain over the past weekend but our SW district received less than other areas
Soil Moisture: Adequate to surplus – water is running out of some hillsides but our SW district is more fortunate than other areas
Temperature: warming up finally! Temps are forecasted to be lower in the upper 80s, nighttime temps approaching 70
Crop Progress: three weeks behind normal

Corn

Crop Stage: US corn crop is 92% emerged. USDA is no longer tracking % planted. Iowa rated 50% in good to excellent condition.
Yield Potential: Yield potential is below normal period delayed planting on too many acres. Early planted corn is starting to take off.

Soybean

Crop Stage: Iowa is 77% planted with 56% emerged. Five year average is 96% planted.
Yield Potential: Could approach normal yields if planted before mid June and rest of year is going good, especially in August.

Corn Market

Current Prices: $7.10/bu
Fall Prices: $5.07/bu
Past Weeks Trend: Old crop 7c higher, new crop 12c lower; generally range bound for the past month

Soybean Market

Current Prices: $15.12/bu
Fall Prices: $12.25/bu
Past Weeks Trend: old crop nearly steady over past week; Of trended on old crop over past month; New crop last dropped over 30c in the past week, had been strongly uptrending until this Monday

Comments:

Dennis Reyman AFM, ARA

Worthwhile to recap the weather through the end of May. Iowa not only set, but smashed the old records for rainfall in May and the March to May period. This is over 141 years of record keeping. Old record was 15.36 inches for the state, this may we received 17.48 inches. 30 year average is 10.22 inches for March to May. The only correlation for an extremely hot, dry year followed by such a cold, wet one (so far) goes back to 1901 and 1902. Needless to say, these are historic weather extremes we are dealing with period however, crops in our SW district are some of the better ones around. Some corners approaching knee high and beginning to catch nitrogen as indicated by a darker green color. Rainfall pushed applied nitrogen deeper into the soil, requiring roots to go deeper before reaching a plentiful supply. However, roots chase moisture and have no incentive to go deeper during continuous rainfall period two scenarios we could see around the region – “shallow-root syndrome” where roots are not deep enough to withstand dry conditions later in the summer, and/or rapid growth which elongates cells, making stocks more susceptible to “brittle-snap” in high winds. Alcorn has this potential, some have more than others. Given a chance we’ll see cornfields experience rapid growth as it tries to catch up with beneficial weather. Beans are emerging in mostly good shape. Beans respond to changing daylight and begin to flower shortly after the summer solstice. They will not have much height at all at this point. Often, beans are knee high by 4th of July. Doesn’t seem likely this year. However, it does take a tall bean to make a good yield. Overall, it does not seem that new crop corn is priced in accordance with the overall situation.

Crop Update Achives

Please click on the links on the right to view the past pdf’s of our Southwest Crop Conditions reports.

Market Conditions

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